Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.021364 0.022945 0.024591 0.026434 0.028442 0.030567 0.032987
2024-10-27 0.018904 0.021207 0.023729 0.026706 0.030134 0.033970 0.038604
2024-11-03 0.017109 0.019825 0.022916 0.026714 0.031277 0.036614 0.043371
2024-11-10 0.015952 0.018977 0.022531 0.027044 0.032663 0.039484 0.048474
2024-11-17 0.014725 0.017901 0.021728 0.026724 0.033135 0.041166 0.052124
2024-11-24 0.013798 0.017096 0.021164 0.026605 0.033775 0.043022 0.056043
2024-12-01 0.012902 0.016255 0.020473 0.026239 0.034022 0.044321 0.059244
2024-12-08 0.012292 0.015731 0.020139 0.026291 0.034788 0.046314 0.063485
2024-12-15 0.011598 0.015048 0.019547 0.025940 0.034952 0.047453 0.066554
2024-12-22 0.010917 0.014342 0.018875 0.025425 0.034834 0.048156 0.068992
2024-12-29 0.010399 0.013825 0.018428 0.025187 0.035075 0.049361 0.072227
2025-01-05 0.009920 0.013337 0.017991 0.024929 0.035255 0.050464 0.075351
2025-01-12 0.009372 0.012731 0.017363 0.024367 0.034961 0.050848 0.077393
2025-01-19 0.009111 0.012518 0.017283 0.024600 0.035869 0.053111 0.082609
2025-01-26 0.008802 0.012220 0.017061 0.024605 0.036417 0.054833 0.087043
2025-02-02 0.008599 0.012065 0.017039 0.024903 0.037430 0.057342 0.092981
2025-02-09 0.008249 0.011677 0.016650 0.024613 0.037484 0.058284 0.096256
2025-02-16 0.007970 0.011382 0.016388 0.024505 0.037816 0.059694 0.100449
2025-02-23 0.007651 0.011015 0.015999 0.024172 0.037757 0.060432 0.103461
2025-03-02 0.007447 0.010813 0.015853 0.024220 0.038328 0.062272 0.108636
2025-03-09 0.007166 0.010482 0.015493 0.023901 0.038257 0.062977 0.111707
2025-03-16 0.006866 0.010111 0.015056 0.023434 0.037903 0.063156 0.113762
2025-03-23 0.006640 0.009848 0.014778 0.023218 0.037971 0.064091 0.117360